Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.549983 1.772957 2.016959 2.303842 2.632009 2.995809 3.429906
2024-12-22 1.208079 1.508502 1.867061 2.326808 2.901213 3.595980 4.501495
2024-12-29 1.020506 1.352695 1.773309 2.345513 3.104857 4.079773 5.429732
2025-01-05 0.864768 1.203759 1.654300 2.297751 3.195030 4.404985 6.166127
2025-01-12 0.744876 1.081769 1.548720 2.244336 3.257012 4.682060 6.848322
2025-01-19 0.644715 0.972438 1.444042 2.173599 3.277395 4.891128 7.441627
2025-01-26 0.617802 0.964984 1.482190 2.310681 3.609611 5.576921 8.800453
2025-02-02 0.593990 0.958320 1.518769 2.446041 3.948705 6.300495 10.285437
2025-02-09 0.564723 0.939063 1.532423 2.544281 4.235504 6.964922 11.737295
2025-02-16 0.527215 0.901931 1.512836 2.584645 4.428920 7.492569 13.010173
2025-02-23 0.478332 0.840470 1.446724 2.539253 4.471437 7.769790 13.878376
2025-03-02 0.439073 0.791403 1.396334 2.514715 4.545090 8.102477 14.869139
2025-03-09 0.408846 0.756121 1.367778 2.528186 4.691350 8.582475 16.186727
2025-03-16 0.381111 0.722697 1.339463 2.539387 4.834656 9.070754 17.570439
2025-03-23 0.357704 0.694823 1.318225 2.560773 4.997287 9.606522 19.092883
2025-03-30 0.327173 0.650291 1.261582 2.508517 5.012364 9.862267 20.089796
2025-04-06 0.299098 0.607808 1.204826 2.450155 5.008737 10.079098 21.025956
2025-04-13 0.271747 0.564154 1.141764 2.372863 4.958791 10.197585 21.768113
2025-04-20 0.270993 0.574762 1.187703 2.522651 5.389631 11.327728 24.745503
2025-04-27 0.269582 0.583786 1.231010 2.670565 5.829662 12.515167 27.961265
2025-05-04 0.264031 0.583391 1.254513 2.777921 6.191684 13.568433 30.982877
2025-05-11 0.253065 0.570134 1.249432 2.822032 6.417998 14.346831 33.459076
2025-05-18 0.235087 0.539622 1.204290 2.772426 6.428641 14.648442 34.864197